Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.700017 1.940276 2.204053 2.515417 2.873277 3.272136 3.751012
2025-09-14 1.371620 1.690372 2.069277 2.554007 3.159311 3.892407 4.850936
2025-09-21 1.120088 1.471908 1.918960 2.531133 3.351532 4.418487 5.920300
2025-09-28 0.913579 1.268232 1.745389 2.438290 3.425576 4.791952 6.844073
2025-10-05 0.823459 1.201053 1.735990 2.555362 3.790094 5.599352 8.484496
2025-10-12 0.752116 1.146702 1.732261 2.673460 4.165735 6.469299 10.350440
2025-10-19 0.680455 1.079575 1.697126 2.733985 4.455629 7.242642 12.181434
2025-10-26 0.617409 1.015807 1.656255 2.775518 4.714879 7.995660 14.089206
2025-11-02 0.544238 0.925138 1.558882 2.707266 4.775468 8.417282 15.478451
2025-11-09 0.470793 0.824272 1.431008 2.567246 4.686980 8.559005 16.369082
2025-11-16 0.425131 0.765902 1.368761 2.534473 4.785266 9.046996 17.983452
2025-11-23 0.383772 0.710131 1.304077 2.487663 4.848304 9.472480 19.533261
2025-11-30 0.365197 0.695647 1.315821 2.592904 5.231944 10.597674 22.755629
2025-12-07 0.340536 0.666661 1.296767 2.635301 5.496154 11.523287 25.721480
2025-12-14 0.311490 0.625576 1.249138 2.613002 5.621925 12.177198 28.199171
2025-12-21 0.278573 0.572794 1.171755 2.517686 5.575754 12.449338 29.837712
2025-12-28 0.269459 0.568263 1.193216 2.639146 6.030876 13.917407 34.631462
2026-01-04 0.260856 0.563729 1.213952 2.761525 6.505976 15.505358 40.026903
2026-01-11 0.248014 0.548369 1.209161 2.824259 6.847894 16.825107 44.974820
2026-01-18 0.234793 0.530608 1.196832 2.867293 7.147457 18.085524 50.004933
2026-01-25 0.215025 0.495580 1.140910 2.796703 7.148588 18.578330 52.972847
2026-02-01 0.192536 0.451733 1.059467 2.651846 6.935299 18.470178 54.172539
2026-02-08 0.178962 0.427817 1.023170 2.617947 7.014195 19.170142 57.935981